Introduction to methods of modelling information wars as a 21st century threat

Abstract

Purpose: Using System Dynamics approach together with Lanchester and SIR models for modeling information war. Theoretical considerations. Approach: Due to the theoretical form of conducted research the main research methodso were a literature review and simulations based on developed model. Conclusions: The result of the research is the model of information war based on System Dynamics approach. The model focuses on how socjety wealth and counterdisinformation campaings affect on war efficiency. One of the key conclusion from the simulations results is that one of the main goals of attacking side should be elimination or taking control over public media of attacked one. Practical implications: The model of information war which was developed during the researche, gives a possibility to get new knowledge about war information procesess. It allows to predict causes and effects of disinformation campaings and helps to make proper decisions connected with countermeasuers that are taken. Presented article appoints directions which needs to be explored in connection with information wars. Orginality: Presented researches are pioneerign and in such form on this field was not conducted so far. Using Lanchester equations, connected with epidemic spread model and System Dynamics approach they provide new knowledge about the phenomenon of information war.