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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://www.um.edu.mt/library/oar/handle/123456789/91211
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dc.date.accessioned2022-03-14T06:59:28Z-
dc.date.available2022-03-14T06:59:28Z-
dc.date.issued2014-
dc.identifier.citationFarrugia, A. (2014). Bayesian modelling of the English Premier League (Bachelor's dissertation).en_GB
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.um.edu.mt/library/oar/handle/123456789/91211-
dc.descriptionB.SC.(HONS)STATS.&OP.RESEARCHen_GB
dc.description.abstractThe process of modelling football data using statistical methods has become increasingly popular nowadays. The aim is to fit a Poisson log-linear and a hierarchical model using Bayesian modelling with special reference made to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. These models assess the teams' performance with respect to their defence and attack parameters. Furthermore, statistical tests are used to compare the efficiency of the forecasts of the proposed models against those of the bookmakers focusing, on the fixed odds betting market. Illustrations using real data from the 2011-2012 English Premiership are considered.en_GB
dc.language.isoenen_GB
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccessen_GB
dc.subjectBayesian statistical decision theoryen_GB
dc.subjectStatistical decisionen_GB
dc.subjectMathematical statisticsen_GB
dc.subjectFootballen_GB
dc.subjectF.A. Premier Leagueen_GB
dc.subjectBookmakers (Gambling)en_GB
dc.titleBayesian modelling of the English Premier Leagueen_GB
dc.typebachelorThesisen_GB
dc.rights.holderThe copyright of this work belongs to the author(s)/publisher. The rights of this work are as defined by the appropriate Copyright Legislation or as modified by any successive legislation. Users may access this work and can make use of the information contained in accordance with the Copyright Legislation provided that the author must be properly acknowledged. Further distribution or reproduction in any format is prohibited without the prior permission of the copyright holder.en_GB
dc.publisher.institutionUniversity of Maltaen_GB
dc.publisher.departmentFaculty of Science. Department of Statistics and Operations Researchen_GB
dc.description.reviewedN/Aen_GB
dc.contributor.creatorFarrugia, Andrea (2014)-
Appears in Collections:Dissertations - FacSci - 1965-2014
Dissertations - FacSciSOR - 2000-2014

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